Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.021488 0.023071 0.024719 0.026564 0.028574 0.030700 0.033121
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.018580 0.020824 0.023281 0.026178 0.029511 0.033238 0.037736
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016745 0.019379 0.022373 0.026046 0.030454 0.035602 0.042111
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015257 0.018110 0.021453 0.025687 0.030946 0.037312 0.045678
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014273 0.017315 0.020973 0.025738 0.031836 0.039458 0.049828
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013278 0.016410 0.020260 0.025396 0.032144 0.040816 0.052985
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012360 0.015524 0.019492 0.024898 0.032168 0.041749 0.055573
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011667 0.014876 0.018973 0.024666 0.032493 0.043056 0.058706
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011048 0.014281 0.018479 0.024418 0.032751 0.044250 0.061720
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010389 0.013594 0.017817 0.023890 0.032568 0.044787 0.063778
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010063 0.013334 0.017713 0.024118 0.033448 0.046868 0.068242
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009681 0.012977 0.017450 0.024097 0.033953 0.048410 0.071965
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009418 0.012775 0.017397 0.024378 0.034923 0.050715 0.077070
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008997 0.012329 0.016976 0.024094 0.035023 0.051690 0.080105
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008661 0.011989 0.016689 0.023989 0.035379 0.053070 0.083886
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008287 0.011577 0.016275 0.023666 0.035371 0.053858 0.086707
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008042 0.011342 0.016110 0.023713 0.035941 0.055600 0.091278
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007717 0.010975 0.015730 0.023403 0.035913 0.056346 0.094134
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007376 0.010569 0.015276 0.022951 0.035625 0.056628 0.096159
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007117 0.010278 0.014982 0.022740 0.035721 0.057561 0.099432
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006869 0.009995 0.014689 0.022514 0.035774 0.058416 0.102605
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006575 0.009629 0.014254 0.022035 0.035367 0.058430 0.104162
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006456 0.009532 0.014235 0.022242 0.036152 0.060607 0.110076